Note: This is a daily stock update and the information stands true as of 29/04/25, 09:00 CET.
Company Update:
Q1 sales were down 1.7% to €8.86bn but 3.7% better than consensus.
EBIT down 40% yoy at €762m a 4% beat. But despite that, the group lowered its FY Guidance and the group now expects:
• Sales revenue between €37 and €38 billion (previous forecast: €39 to €40 billion) – consensus at €38.3bn, our estimate at €37.47bn
• Return on sales between 6.5% and 8.5% (previous forecast: between 10% and 12%) – consensus at 9.4%, our estimate at 8.5%
• Automotive net cash flow margin between 4% and 6% (previous forecast: between 7% and 9%) – consensus at 6.1%, our estimate at 7.2%
• Automotive EBITDA margin between 16.5% and 18.5% (previous forecast: between 19% and 21%) – consensus at 18.9%.
Expert Opinion:
The profit warning was expected but not by that much. It highlights the significantly difficult environment for European car manufacturers. Still a no-go sector for our expert at this stage.
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